Probability & Random Variables unit test
A test on this unit alone, marked as a percentage and a letter grade — for the test your class is actually sitting, rather than for May. Answer everything, then submit once: seeing the answer to question 3 before attempting question 4 makes the final percentage meaningless.
Binomial setting
Simulation design
Conditional probability
"At least one" problems
Binomial mean and standard deviation
Independence of two random variables
Binomial vs geometric on the exam
Linear transformation of a random variable
Variance of a random variable
Geometric setting
Two-way table probabilities
Addition rule
Short answer 1. Define or explain: Law of large numbers
3 ptsShort answer 2. Define or explain: Tree diagrams
3 ptsShort answer 3. Define or explain: 10% condition
3 ptsShort answer 4. Define or explain: Mutually exclusive vs independent
3 ptsFree response
9 ptsThis course has no free-response prompt tagged to this unit, so one from elsewhere in the course is used. It is still worth writing — the skill transfers.
A coffee chain claims that 60% of its customers prefer its new house blend. A skeptical manager suspects the true proportion is lower. In a random sample of 150 customers, 78 prefer the new blend. Use α = 0.05.
State the hypotheses, defining the parameter in context.
Verify the conditions for a one-proportion z-test.
Calculate the test statistic and the P-value.
State a conclusion in the context of the problem.
Describe a Type I error in this context and its consequence for the chain.